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David Stockman Presents High Alerts VESTS Analysis

Sat, 12/20/2014 - 02:06
I noticed an article by David Stockman, "Central Banks Are Now Uncorking The Delirium Phase," and I want to comment on it because he shed light on some of the same conclusions we've come to regarding this ongoing "Wall Street Party." Stockman also makes a case for what we call VESTS – a strategy of investing that includes an analysis of elite goals promoted by a variety of dominant social themes and central bank strategies. I think it's important to note this because our VESTS model is a kind ...

Stock Shock Surge Is It Real

Fri, 12/19/2014 - 02:06
The Fed has signaled that it has moved to a slightly tougher position regarding eventual rate hikes and the reverberations are felt around the world. The dollar has benefited so far and so have US stocks. But are the reasons being offered in the mainstream media actually the correct ones? Reading through the analysis it becomes clear that the interpretations being offered are just that. Articles begin with what's taking place and then offer justifications for it. The whole process seems a kind ...

Yes There Are Business Cycles and the Question Is What to Do About Them

Fri, 12/19/2014 - 02:04
We've mentioned that Reuters columnist Noah Smith is a "gift that keeps on giving." He's back with another such gift in this column, "Maybe There's No Such Thing as a Business Cycle." Actually, the article promises a bit more than it delivers. Smith doesn't actually declare that business cycles don't exist, though he more or less ponders the possibility. Here's more: "The word "cycle" conjures up images of waves and seasons, but the business cycle isn't a regular cycle like that (if it were, ...

Economist Dont Worry About the New Tech Bubble

Thu, 12/18/2014 - 02:06
The tech bubble of 2000 led directly to the crisis of 2008 because after 2000 central banks radically dropped rates and began to swell the monetary base. And now they are doing it again. There was, of course, a bobble when Ben Bernanke raised rates and we've often quoted a Forbes article accusing him for one reason or another of wanting to invert the yield curve in the mid 2000s ... But that sort of manipulation brings up other issues that we won't directly address here. What IS clear is bad ...

Will the World End in Fire or Ice

Thu, 12/18/2014 - 02:04
Think of inflation as fire and deflation as ice. How will this latest asset reflation end? Will it subside into ice – a tremendous monetary and price deflation? Or will the current asset expansion continue into a catastrophe of fire? Often, as we've pointed out, the two look the same. When deflation appears after an enormous bubble, people claim that there is a deflationary mechanism at work in collapsing the market. But in fact, the price and monetary deflation or disinflation is a product of ...

Renegade Liberals and Oppressed Elite Feminists

Thu, 12/18/2014 - 02:02
Everyone has heard the statistic. One in five female students will be raped during her time on campus. Only they won't because the rate of campus rape is far, far lower and it is consistently falling. A Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS) report disproves the 1-in-5 figure that has been used as a political baseball bat for almost a decade. It has been used to 'prove' there is a rape culture, and to promote laws and policies that privilege women at the expense of men. The BJS report entitled "Rape ...

Financial Market Manipulation Is The New Trend Can It Continue

Thu, 12/18/2014 - 02:01
Financial Imperialists Attack Russia: A dangerous new trend is the successful manipulation of the financial markets by the Federal Reserve, other central banks, private banks, and the US Treasury. The Federal Reserve reduced real interest rates on US government debt obligations first to zero and then pushed real interest rates into negative territory. Today the government charges you for the privilege of purchasing its bonds. People pay to park their money in Treasury debt obligations, because ...

Bloomberg Foresees Russias Demise

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 02:06
Bloomberg was in full cry last night regarding a failing Russian economy. We've never seen anything like it on Bloomberg: The front page of the website carried a box on the top left hand corner filled with blaring stories. It is this latter editorial that we are focused on in this analysis (View: Russia's Problems Are Everyone's Problems). And this is surely a meme, a sub-dominant social theme of sorts. It has exploded in the past six months. It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that Vladimir ...

Misery of a Meme Mainstream Media Profiles Boy Genius Who Made It Up and the Frat Rape That Wasnt

Wed, 12/17/2014 - 02:04
In the Internet era it is increasingly difficult to actualize dominant social themes. An "actualization," of course, is a news story showing the validity of the meme or theme. Several years ago, the mainstream media tried to actualize the "thoughtless and brutal white-frat-jock" meme with a tale about a young woman who was raped by part of a Duke lacrosse team. Why is this a meme to be reckoned with? Because it is part of a larger leveling. This is evident culturally and from a global ...

Inflation Deflation When a Central Bank Produces It Its Wrong

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 02:06
A recent article of ours made the point that deflation and disinflation are unstable monetary states in an era of central banking. While we didn't draw precise definitional lines between various kinds of deflation, our point was clear enough: Deflation and disinflation in a monetarist world are a product of asset expansion. We explained that Eurocrat cries of alarm over EU price deflation were insincere and merely meant to provide justifications for central bank actions that Brussels was not ...

Farmland Provides a Solution to Regulatory and Warmist Overkill

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 02:04
Warm weather often promises an abundance of food. But for global warming promoters, warmer weather is to be feared. Purposefully or not, "scientific" research, media reports and over-regulation form an unholy triangle of food scarcity. Simplify the explanation and you can put the blame on research, reports and regulation. Three Rs. First comes the research, often – as it has been shown – confused by false claims and exaggerated studies. Then come media reports that take modest conclusions and ...

The False Promises of Controlled Two Percent Inflation

Tue, 12/16/2014 - 02:02
A specter is haunting the world, the specter of two percent inflationism. Whether pronounced by the U.S. Federal Reserve or the European Central Bank, or from the Bank of Japan, many monetary central planners have declared their determination to impose a certain minimum of rising prices on their societies and economies. One of the oldest of economic fallacies continues to dominate and guide the thinking of monetary policy makers: that printing money is the magic elixir for the creating of ...

You Can Relax Theres No Retirement Crisis After All

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 02:06
This is an absurd article. US lifestyles and retirement possibilities have been on a downward arc since at least the turn of the century. And if one goes back and compares the 1950s to the present day, the current financial environment looks even worse. Since 1913, when the Federal Reserve began, the Greenback has lost 95 percent of its value or more. Solvency and accrual are difficult when the system itself is set up to debase the currency. And how do people themselves feel about their own ...

Hard Truths About US Patriot Protests

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 02:04
Gavin Seim and people like him are perhaps the fruit of this Internet era. They are educated and fervent about protecting constitutional freedoms. Yet there is a big difference between understanding what has been lost and regaining it. Seim is already on the radar of the Southern Poverty Law Center's Hatewatch, which devoted a post to his planned protest: "New Washington Gun-Control Law Spurs 'We Will Not Comply' Rally Led by Youthful 'Patriot'." Here's how the article began ... Gavin Seim ...

All I Want for Christmas is a Real Government Shutdown

Mon, 12/15/2014 - 02:02
The political class breathed a sigh of relief Saturday when the US Senate averted a government shutdown by passing the $1.1 trillion omnibus spending bill. This year's omnibus resembles omnibuses of Christmas past in that it was drafted in secret, was full of special interest deals and disguised spending increases, and was voted on before most members could read it. The debate over the omnibus may have made for entertaining political theater, but the outcome was never in doubt. Most House and ...

Jim Rogers Choose Farming for Your Family and Finances

Sun, 12/14/2014 - 02:06
I'm still extremely optimistic about agriculture, more so than many sectors of the world economy. ... If you want to invest in agriculture, the best thing you should do is become a farmer. Buy yourself some land and become a farmer if you'd be any good at it – or even if you'd just be mediocre at it – because there's going to be some fortunes made in agriculture and when an industry breaks full faith even mediocre people make a lot of money because everything is going right. So if you really want ...

Central Banking Dysfunction in an Era of Stock Market Volatility

Sat, 12/13/2014 - 02:06
A recent article in The Market Oracle caught my eye: "Largest Financial Bubble in History – 10 years of 'Why Sell Now?' " The article was written this past week during a powerfully slumping market that trimmed hundreds of points off the Dow Jones industrial average. It was written by registered investment advisor Doug Wakefield. Is this the end of the bull market? I'm not going to forecast short-term ups and downs but the article did remind me once again of the larger dysfunctional nature of our ...

Transparency Will Not Cure the Multinational Problem

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 02:06
The idea behind this article is that openness is good and more openness is even better. The article makes a pretense of asking whether this is a sensible conclusion, but at the heart of the article is an argument for more transparency. The idea is that governments should have more and more access to corporate inner-workings. This will gradually have the effect of reducing corporate corruption. Here's more: Three forces are driving change. First, governments are demanding greater corporate ...

Shock Spain Shuts Down Google Confronts the Internet

Fri, 12/12/2014 - 02:04
Richard Gingras, Head of Google News, posted this update on Thursday, explaining that Google News would have to close in Spain. That's because Spanish legislators have decided that any time someone reproduces even a few words of someone else's writing, it is now considered stealing unless compensation is paid. Germany previously passed an unsuccessful law of this sort, but the difference is that most media companies waived their right to charge for excerpts because Google created so much traffic ...

So It Begins Congress to Cut Pension Plans

Thu, 12/11/2014 - 02:06
This is huge news, and it's definitely launched in a big way on the mainstream media. As of this writing, the situation is still in flux but from what we've read this legislation is taking place. Even if it doesn't happen this time, it's part of a trend that will reoccur. Yes, it is a really – really – big story. People's savings and retirement benefits have been decimated by price and monetary inflation. They've lost their jobs and been forced out of their homes. And now the federal government ...

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